Most people agree that there will be a demand for workers as soon as we start the recovery process (no, I do not subscribe to the idea that the recession ended in June of 2009). Companies are running in a most efficient manner right now due to the fact that they had to cut staff to the bone. Growth/expansion will require an expansion of most company’s workforces. The supply of workers will be limited due to the Baby Boomer retirements and the great decrease in workers in Gen X.
Along with this shortage comes another important limitation in the workforce. From the Herman Trend’s weekly email (emphasis mine):
“Unfortunately, with all of the uncertainty created by the current regulatory environment, small to mid-size businesses have put their hiring plans on hold; in fact, many are waiting to see the outcome of the United States’ elections on November 2”, said Daywalt.
When they are ready to recruit trained, qualified people and the demand exceeds the supply, US employers are in for a rude awakening. Why? Government, healthcare, and energy industry Baby Boomer retirements and the significant training cutback that accompanied the recent economic slowdown.
Absolutely true. I work with a handful of sales trainers and they have all seen serious declines in their revenue. There will be a price to pay for this lack of development in the workforce. The “tsunami” of hiring that is impending will be tempered by the sheer lack of candidates along with the lack of trained candidates. Companies will need to keep an open mind when hiring as to the investment they will have to make in their new employees.