{"id":1970,"date":"2009-03-20T14:30:00","date_gmt":"2009-03-20T19:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/2009\/03\/the-enormous-forecast\/"},"modified":"2009-03-20T14:26:25","modified_gmt":"2009-03-20T19:26:25","slug":"the-enormous-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/2009\/03\/the-enormous-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"The Enormous Forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Shrinking revenue reports are the fear of most sales managers.\u00a0 This fear is further intensified during this economy.\u00a0 There are salespeople who are attempting to leverage this fear by submitting an inflated forecast.\u00a0 These salespeople provide forecasts that are filled with large deals that are welded to the 90 days out category.<\/p>\n<p>The sales managers who buy into this approach are trading accuracy for enormity as they submit the aggregate forecast from their team.\u00a0 I suppose the sales manager\u2019s thought is that the salespeople will get shot before he or she is shot.\u00a0 Perhaps, but the business pays a tremendous price for this obfuscation.<\/p>\n<p>There are two antidotes to this inflated approach:\u00a0 1.) Budget qualification and 2.) Salesperson close ratio.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Budget Qualification<\/span><\/strong><br \/>\nMany salespeople suffer from a money weakness.\u00a0 They have difficulty discussing price with prospects and customers.\u00a0 This weakness is problematic in a strong economy, it is deadly in a recession.\u00a0 Any salesperson who places a prospect into the pipeline needs to have the money portion fully qualified.\u00a0 <em>Any<\/em> lack of clarity on this topic should immediately lead to the salesperson having to go back and clean up that bit of qualifying.<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Close Ratio<br \/>\n<\/span><\/strong>Most sales managers know that each salesperson has a unique close ratio.\u00a0 Some salespeople are overly optimistic and require a multiplier of &lt;1.\u00a0 Others are pessimists and typically close more than their forecast (there are far fewer of these salespeople, but they do exist).\u00a0 The key is to know the historical ratio of the salesperson when analyzing their forecast.\u00a0 If their close ratio is &lt;50%, you know they best have a large number of suspects in the early stages of their pipeline.<\/p>\n<p>One last note \u2013 sales cycles are extended in most industries so pipelines need to be extended also.\u00a0 Since it is March, this seems like a trivial point.\u00a0 However, if your normal sales cycle is 3 months and it has not been extended to 6 months, your salespeople do not have much time to establish their 2009 numbers.\u00a0 The next quarter will determine whether it is a successful year or not.\u00a0 This is an important point no matter how short your sales cycle.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Shrinking revenue reports are the fear of most sales managers.\u00a0 This fear is further intensified during this economy.\u00a0 There are salespeople who are attempting to leverage this fear by submitting an inflated forecast.\u00a0 These salespeople provide forecasts that are filled with large deals that are welded to the 90 days out category. The sales managers who buy into this approach are trading accuracy for enormity as they submit the aggregate forecast from their team.\u00a0 I suppose the sales manager\u2019s thought is that the salespeople will get shot before he or she is shot.\u00a0 Perhaps, but the business pays a tremendous price for this obfuscation. There are two antidotes to this&hellip; <a class=\"read-more\" href=\"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/2009\/03\/the-enormous-forecast\/\">Read More<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"bgseo_title":"","bgseo_description":"","bgseo_robots_index":"","bgseo_robots_follow":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[4],"tags":[1276,108,1277,1236,1275,143],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p5Oho-vM","jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1970"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1970"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1970\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1971,"href":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1970\/revisions\/1971"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1970"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1970"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/selectmetrix.com\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1970"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<!-- WP Super Cache is installed but broken. 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